RB · PIT · #30
Jaylen Warren
- Height
- HT 5'8"
- Weight
- WT 225 lbs
- Birth date
- Nov 1, 1998 (age 27.8)
- College
- Oklahoma State
The arc is recovery: RB25, then RB41, now RB16.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,999
Range 2,769–3,224
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Elite RB production now; the age curve is already in the score.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
155.0 pts
9.1 PPG · 15.7 games
714.7 rush yds · 35.3 rec · 273.2 rec yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
Buy lowWarren ran for 958 yards and caught 40 passes in 2025, finishing RB16. The arc is recovery: RB25, then RB41, now RB16. Looking at 2026, he's a situational piece unless the role grows. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jaylen Warren.
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2026 dynasty sleepers, from a Steelers backfield surprise to three second-year tight ends the market hasn't fully priced yet. Full position breakdowns coming next.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
197.1
PPG
12.3
Positional finish
RB16
Key stats
- Rush yds: 958 (RB19)
- Rec: 40 (RB11)
2025: 12.3 PPG actual vs 11.9 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 3%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB16 | 197.1 | 12.3 | 958 | 6 | 40 | 333 | 2 | — | — |
| 2024 | RB41 | 105.1 | 7.0 | 511 | 1 | 38 | 310 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | RB25 | 165.9 | 9.8 | 784 | 4 | 61 | 370 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | RB51 | 79.3 | 5.0 | 379 | 1 | 28 | 214 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 12.4 | BAL | 71 plays · 66% pass | 66 | 33 · 5 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 6.4 | CLE | 63 plays · 62% pass | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 28.1 | DET | 68 plays · 60% pass | 143 / 2 TD | 8 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 6.3 | MIA | 59 plays · 46% pass | 33 | 15 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 13.7 | BAL | 51 plays · 67% pass | 13 | 49 / 1 TD · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 11.4 | BUF | 42 plays · 57% pass | 35 / 1 TD | 9 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 12.8 | CHI | 67 plays · 46% pass | 68 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 7.7 | CIN | 59 plays · 53% pass | 62 | 5 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 10.1 | LAC | 47 plays · 66% pass | 70 | 21 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 15.9 | IND | 58 plays · 60% pass | 31 / 2 TD | -2 · 2 rec | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- BAL-9% · 107 rush yards
- CLE-1% · 116 rush yards
- DET-2% · 115 rush yards
- MIA+13% · 132 rush yards
- BUF+16% · 136 rush yards
- CHI+15% · 135 rush yards
- CIN+26% · 147 rush yards
- LAC-10% · 105 rush yards
- IND-13% · 102 rush yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 50.8% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
41.9%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Yards after contact / att
- 2.4
- Yards before contact / att
- 2.2
- Broken tackles
- 23
Durability
- 202317 G
- 202415 G · 2 Out
- 202516 G
- 15.7 projected games — last three seasons at a full slate.
Undrafted RB — this pack does not score UDFA hit rates.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- RYOE / att
- 0.86yd
- Efficiency
- 3.72
- 8+ in box
- 32.2%
- Time to LOS
- 2.88s
8th of 51
22nd of 51
7th of 51
37th of 51
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Jaylen Warren's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Warren scores 2,999 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Jaylen Warren's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 9.1 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Jaylen Warren in dynasty right now?
- That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.