Jaxon Smith-Njigba headshot

WR · SEA · #11

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Height
HT 6'0"
Weight
WT 198 lbs
Birth date
Feb 14, 2002 (age 24.5)
College
Ohio State

Path runs WR48 → WR10 → WR2 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

8,353

Range 7,4638,986

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

258.8 pts

15.2 PPG · 16.5 games

102.5 rec · 1520.7 rec yds · 8.8 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy low

Smith-Njigba caught 119 passes for 1,793 yards in 2025, finishing WR2. He scored 22% more than his touches said he should. The arc is recovery: WR48, then WR10, now WR2. Into 2026, the projection still expects starter production. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

300.4

PPG

17.7

Positional finish

WR2

Key stats

  • Rec: 119 (WR3)
  • Rec yds: 1793 (WR1)
  • Rec TD: 10 (WR4)

2025: 17.7 PPG actual vs 14.5 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 22%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR2300.417.711917931036
2024WR10203.011.9100113062635
2023WR48118.37.0636284

Career arc

01002003004002023: 118.3 Half-PPR11820232024: 203.0 Half-PPR20320242025: 300.4 Half-PPR30020252026 projection: 258.8 Half-PPR2592026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W1811.4SF65 plays · 40% pass84 · 6 rec00
2025 W1711.7CAR63 plays · 43% pass72 · 9 rec00
2025 W1619.6LA59 plays · 58% pass96 / 1 TD · 8 rec00
2025 W1514.8IND58 plays · 62% pass113 · 7 rec00
2025 W1424.6ATL56 plays · 54% pass92 / 2 TD · 7 rec-10
2025 W133.3MIN58 plays · 45% pass23 · 2 rec00
2025 W1233.1TEN46 plays · 57% pass167 / 2 TD · 8 rec40
2025 W1116.1LA79 plays · 56% pass105 · 9 rec110
2025 W1017.8ARI58 plays · 21% pass93 / 1 TD · 5 rec00
2025 W918.0WAS48 plays · 50% pass129 · 8 rec110

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
5101520253035409101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • SF
    +7% · 242 pass yards
  • CAR
    -4% · 215 pass yards
  • LA
    +4% · 235 pass yards
  • IND
    +17% · 263 pass yards
  • ATL
    -1% · 222 pass yards
  • MIN
    -21% · 178 pass yards
  • TEN
    +10% · 248 pass yards
  • ARI
    +8% · 243 pass yards
  • WAS
    +14% · 257 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 77.4% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

2550751009101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

92.0%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
3
Avg depth of target
11.2
Drop %
3.1%

Durability

  • 2023
    17 G
  • 2024
    17 G
  • 2025
    17 G
  • 16.5 projected games — last three seasons at a full slate.

R1 (20 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
3.02yd

31st of 85

Cushion
6.30yd

36th of 85

YAC above expected
0.79yd

24th of 85

Air yards share
48.6%

1st of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Jaxon Smith-Njigba's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Smith-Njigba scores 8,353 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 15.2 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Jaxon Smith-Njigba in dynasty right now?
That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.