WR · CIN · #1
He's been a weekly starter — recent finishes stay in the WR1–WR12 range.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
9,712
Range 8,798–9,680
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
275.9 pts
16.2 PPG · 16.0 games
118 rec · 1435.5 rec yds · 11.9 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Chase caught 125 passes for 1,412 yards in 2025, finishing WR4. At 27, he's in the typical WR peak window. Into 2026, the projection still expects starter production. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Ja'Marr Chase.
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Is CeeDee Lamb Still a True WR1 After a Down Year?
Lamb played through a high ankle sprain for most of 2025 and still finished 2nd in deep receiving yards. NextDyne's model still has him as the WR1 for 2026.
Is Ja'Marr Chase Untouchable in Dynasty Trades?
Ja'Marr Chase owns the top Dynasty Value Score of any receiver. Here's whether that makes him a true untouchable, or just the best asset with a price.
Half-PPR points
251.1
PPG
15.7
Positional finish
WR4
Key stats
2025: 15.7 PPG actual vs 15.3 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 3%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR4 | 251.1 | 15.7 | 125 | 1412 | 8 | 14 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR1 | 339.5 | 20.0 | 127 | 1708 | 17 | 32 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR13 | 212.7 | 13.3 | 100 | 1216 | 7 | -6 | — | -7 | — |
| 2022 | WR12 | 198.9 | 16.6 | 87 | 1046 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR5 | 264.1 | 15.5 | 81 | 1455 | 13 | 21 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 19.6 | CLE | 64 plays · 61% pass | 96 / 1 TD · 8 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 21.5 | ARI | 71 plays · 51% pass | 60 / 2 TD · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 15.4 | MIA | 59 plays · 56% pass | 109 · 9 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 18.2 | BAL | 68 plays · 57% pass | 132 · 10 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 7.7 | BUF | 55 plays · 66% pass | 44 · 5 rec | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 14.5 | BAL | 79 plays · 58% pass | 110 · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 4.5 | PIT | 62 plays · 65% pass | 30 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 14.1 | CHI | 62 plays · 76% pass | 111 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 15.1 | NYJ | 57 plays · 60% pass | 91 · 12 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 30.1 | PIT | 70 plays · 67% pass | 161 / 1 TD · 16 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 94.4% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
96.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (5 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
23rd of 85
64th of 85
12th of 85
12th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.