What is Jake Ferguson's dynasty value on NextDyne?

Ferguson scores 3,943 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.

What is Jake Ferguson's 2026 Engine Projection?

We project 8.1 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.

How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?

Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.

Should I trade for Jake Ferguson in dynasty right now?

That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.

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TE · DAL · #87

Jake Ferguson

Height: HT 6'5"
Weight: WT 244 lbs
Birth date: Jan 18, 1999 (age 27.6)
College: Wisconsin

The arc is recovery: TE8, then TE30, now TE8.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

3,943

Range 3,616–4,264

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

138.3 pts

8.1 PPG · 15.8 games

78.7 rec · 692.7 rec yds · 5.2 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy low

Ferguson caught 82 passes for 600 yards in 2025, finishing TE8. He scored about 8% less than his touches said he should. The arc is recovery: TE8, then TE30, now TE8. The 2026 projection is modest — the role has to hold. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jake Ferguson.

StrategyAug 12, 2026NextDyne
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Lamb played through a high ankle sprain for most of 2025 and still finished 2nd in deep receiving yards. NextDyne's model still has him as the WR1 for 2026.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

147.1

PPG

8.7

Positional finish

TE8

Key stats

Rec: 82 (TE3)
Rec yds: 600 (TE13)
Rec TD: 8 (TE3)

2025: 8.7 PPG actual vs 9.5 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 8%.

Career (Half-PPR)

Season	Finish	Half-PPR FP	PPG	Rec	Rec yd	Rec TD	Rush yd	Rush TD	Pass yd	Pass TD
2025	TE8	147.1	8.7	82	600	8	1	—	—	—
2024	TE30	74.9	5.4	59	494	—	—	—	—	—
2023	TE8	141.6	8.3	71	761	5	—	—	—	—
2022	TE47	38.9	3.5	19	174	2	—	—	—	—

Career arc

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

Week	Half-PPR FP	Opp	Script	Rec	Rush
2025 W18	1.0	NYG	54 plays · 44% pass	5 · 1 rec	0
2025 W17	7.1	WAS	81 plays · 46% pass	6 / 1 TD · 1 rec	0
2025 W16	3.4	LAC	55 plays · 58% pass	19 · 3 rec	0
2025 W15	2.6	MIN	67 plays · 57% pass	16 · 2 rec	0
2025 W14	8.3	DET	71 plays · 66% pass	58 · 5 rec	0
2025 W13	6.1	KC	65 plays · 60% pass	36 · 5 rec	0
2025 W12	8.6	PHI	67 plays · 54% pass	60 · 5 rec	1
2025 W11	9.6	LV	64 plays · 52% pass	16 / 1 TD · 4 rec	0
2025 W9	5.5	ARI	60 plays · 65% pass	50 · 5 rec	0
2025 W8	0.0	DEN	66 plays · 53% pass	0	0

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

NYG
+2% · 230 pass yards
WAS
+14% · 257 pass yards
LAC
-13% · 195 pass yards
MIN
-21% · 178 pass yards
DET
+5% · 237 pass yards
KC
-9% · 205 pass yards
PHI
-9% · 205 pass yards
LV
-5% · 214 pass yards
ARI
+8% · 243 pass yards
DEN
-6% · 212 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 66.7% mean

target share

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

78.9%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles: 6
Avg depth of target: 4.7
Drop %: 2.0%

Durability

2023
17 G
2024
14 G · 2 Out
2025
17 G
15.8 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R4 (129 overall) TE · that slot hit at 13.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=36; contributor 27.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation: 3.31yd
Cushion: 5.87yd
YAC above expected: 0.18yd
Air yards share: 9.8%

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

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FAQ

What is Jake Ferguson's dynasty value on NextDyne?: Ferguson scores 3,943 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Jake Ferguson's 2026 Engine Projection?: We project 8.1 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?: Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Jake Ferguson in dynasty right now?: That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.