WR · DAL · #3
After a rough middle year (WR42), WR5 looks like a reset worth tracking.
Traded from PIT to DAL (May 7, 2025).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
7,673
Range 6,886–8,278
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
212.1 pts
12.5 PPG · 16.0 games
79.4 rec · 1219.5 rec yds · 8 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Pickens caught 93 passes for 1,429 yards in 2025, finishing WR5. He scored 13% more than his touches said he should. Path runs WR26 → WR42 → WR5 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate. Into 2026, the projection still expects starter production. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention George Pickens.
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Half-PPR points
245.4
PPG
14.4
Positional finish
WR5
Key stats
2025: 14.4 PPG actual vs 12.8 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 13%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR5 | 245.4 | 14.4 | 93 | 1429 | 9 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR42 | 134.9 | 9.6 | 59 | 900 | 3 | -6 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR26 | 177.3 | 10.4 | 63 | 1140 | 5 | 18 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR36 | 140.5 | 8.3 | 52 | 801 | 4 | 24 | 1 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 1.4 | NYG | 54 plays · 44% pass | 9 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 9.8 | WAS | 81 plays · 46% pass | 78 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 22.5 | LAC | 55 plays · 58% pass | 130 / 1 TD · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 4.8 | MIN | 67 plays · 57% pass | 33 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 6.2 | DET | 71 plays · 66% pass | 37 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 13.8 | KC | 65 plays · 60% pass | 88 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 25.1 | PHI | 67 plays · 54% pass | 146 / 1 TD · 9 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 24.9 | LV | 64 plays · 52% pass | 144 / 1 TD · 9 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 10.9 | ARI | 60 plays · 65% pass | 79 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 11.3 | DEN | 66 plays · 53% pass | 78 · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 81.1% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
89.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (52 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
75th of 85
80th of 85
3rd of 85
19th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.