RB · HOU · #32
RB18 slipped to RB27 last year; that's the warning.
Traded from DET to HOU (Mar 2, 2026).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3,330
Range 3,066–3,589
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Win-now veteran — still scores, but dynasty runway is short at this age for a RB.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
216.6 pts
12.7 PPG · 16.0 games
893.3 rush yds · 38.6 rec · 316.1 rec yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.96
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Process ×1.01
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Montgomery ran for 716 yards and caught 24 passes in 2025, finishing RB27. Production trend is soft: RB18 → RB27 over the last two seasons. The 2026 projection still has him in every-week starter range. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention David Montgomery.
Half-PPR points
154.9
PPG
9.1
Positional finish
RB27
Key stats
2025: 9.1 PPG actual vs 9.1 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR).
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB27 | 154.9 | 9.1 | 716 | 8 | 24 | 192 | — | 3 | 1 |
| 2024 | RB18 | 203.7 | 14.6 | 775 | 12 | 36 | 341 | — | 3 | 1 |
| 2023 | RB13 | 199.2 | 14.2 | 1015 | 13 | 16 | 117 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | RB23 | 160.7 | 10.0 | 801 | 5 | 34 | 316 | 1 | — | — |
| 2021 | RB21 | 174.0 | 13.4 | 849 | 7 | 42 | 301 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | RB4 | 237.8 | 15.9 | 1070 | 8 | 54 | 438 | 2 | — | — |
| 2019 | RB25 | 157.9 | 9.9 | 889 | 6 | 25 | 185 | 1 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 6.0 | CHI | 69 plays · 61% pass | 42 | 13 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 5.0 | MIN | 59 plays · 49% pass | 25 | 15 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 1.4 | PIT | 66 plays · 82% pass | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 9.2 | LA | 61 plays · 67% pass | 32 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 13.8 | DAL | 56 plays · 61% pass | 60 / 1 TD | 13 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 11.8 | GB | 57 plays · 47% pass | 32 / 1 TD | 16 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 5.2 | NYG | 62 plays · 68% pass | 18 | 19 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 4.2 | PHI | 58 plays · 64% pass | 27 | 10 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 9.6 | WAS | 68 plays · 52% pass | 71 | 0 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 10.0 | MIN | 57 plays · 65% pass | 40 / 1 TD | 10 · 2 rec | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 37.1% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
35.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (73 overall) RB · that slot hit at 47.4% in 2010–2023 classes (n=38; contributor 63.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
11th of 51
15th of 51
5th of 51
10th of 51
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.