TE · BUF · #86
Dalton Kincaid
- Height
- HT 6'3"
- Weight
- WT 240 lbs
- Birth date
- Oct 18, 1999 (age 26.9)
- College
- Utah; Univ of California-San Diego
Path runs TE12 → TE29 → TE18 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,896
Range 2,677–3,111
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
95.4 pts
5.6 PPG · 15.0 games
39.1 rec · 528.5 rec yds · 3.9 rec TD
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
Buy lowKincaid caught 39 passes for 571 yards in 2025, finishing TE18. He scored 37% more than his touches said he should. After a rough middle year (TE29), TE18 looks like a reset worth tracking. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
NextDyne coverage
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2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
106.6
PPG
8.9
Positional finish
TE18
Key stats
- Rec: 39 (TE29)
- Rec yds: 571 (TE16)
- Rec TD: 5 (TE13)
2025: 8.9 PPG actual vs 6.5 expected from usage (12 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 37%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TE18 | 106.6 | 8.9 | 39 | 571 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | TE29 | 78.8 | 6.1 | 44 | 448 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | TE12 | 113.8 | 7.1 | 73 | 673 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 6.3 | NYJ | 72 plays · 40% pass | 48 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 0.0 | CLE | 48 plays · 40% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 4.9 | NE | 65 plays · 43% pass | 34 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 12.1 | CIN | 57 plays · 49% pass | 41 / 1 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 4.7 | MIA | 62 plays · 65% pass | 37 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 19.1 | KC | 61 plays · 43% pass | 101 / 1 TD · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 2.8 | CAR | 58 plays · 40% pass | 23 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 13.8 | NE | 60 plays · 52% pass | 108 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 9.3 | NO | 54 plays · 41% pass | 28 / 1 TD · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W3 | 15.1 | MIA | 55 plays · 51% pass | 66 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- NYJ+1% · 226 pass yards
- CLE-16% · 189 pass yards
- NE-8% · 207 pass yards
- CIN+9% · 246 pass yards
- MIA+3% · 231 pass yards
- KC-9% · 205 pass yards
- CAR-4% · 215 pass yards
- NO-13% · 196 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 37.4% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
52.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 1
- Avg depth of target
- 9.5
- Drop %
- 2.0%
Durability
- 202316 G
- 202413 G · 2 Out
- 202512 G · 2 Out
- 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R1 (25 overall) TE · that slot hit at 81.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=11; contributor 100.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Separation
- 3.42yd
- Cushion
- 5.97yd
- YAC above expected
- 1.02yd
- Air yards share
- 13.0%
19th of 35
11th of 35
5th of 35
16th of 35
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Dalton Kincaid's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Kincaid scores 2,896 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Dalton Kincaid's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 5.6 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Dalton Kincaid in dynasty right now?
- That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.