QB · TEN · #1
QB22 last year is usable, not flashy.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,812
Range 4,042–5,557
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young QB with proof and a long runway.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
281.2 pts
16.5 PPG · 16.5 games
4203.8 pass yds · 24.4 pass TD · 284.2 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Ward threw for 3,169 yards and 15 TDs in 2025, finishing QB22. He scored about 9% less than his touches said he should. At 24, nothing in the recent seasons jumps off the page. 2026 still looks like a starter, not a stash. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Cam Ward.
5 Breakout Dynasty TEs to Target in 2026
Five 2026 dynasty TE sleepers whose roles or prices have not caught up: a Seahawks TE1 still 19th, a Jaguars 12-game spike, and a Chargers pass-catcher our board currently scores at zero.
2026 Dynasty Sleepers: Top 10 Breakout Picks
2026 dynasty sleepers, from a Steelers backfield surprise to three second-year tight ends the market hasn't fully priced yet. Full position breakdowns coming next.
Half-PPR points
186.7
PPG
11.0
Positional finish
QB22
Key stats
2025: 11.0 PPG actual vs 12.1 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 9%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB22 | 186.7 | 11.0 | 3169 | 15 | 159 | 2 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 9.2 | JAX | 52 plays · 64% pass | 52 | 11 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 17.0 | NO | 68 plays · 59% pass | 251 / 2 TD | 10 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 18.0 | KC | 68 plays · 41% pass | 228 / 2 TD | 9 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 15.0 | SF | 49 plays · 59% pass | 170 / 2 TD | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 11.1 | CLE | 63 plays · 44% pass | 117 / 2 TD | 4 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 6.3 | JAX | 52 plays · 73% pass | 141 | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 23.9 | SEA | 64 plays · 66% pass | 256 / 1 TD | 37 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 13.1 | HOU | 54 plays · 69% pass | 194 / 1 TD | 33 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 6.4 | LAC | 40 plays · 53% pass | 145 | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 12.8 | IND | 63 plays · 60% pass | 259 / 1 TD | 4 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 94.6% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
94.9%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
37th of 42
33rd of 42
35th of 42
30th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.