WR · JAX · #7
Brian Thomas Jr.
- Height
- HT 6'2"
- Weight
- WT 205 lbs
- Birth date
- Oct 8, 2002 (age 23.9)
- College
- LSU
WR4 slipped to WR43 last year; that's the warning.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,382
Range 4,002–4,738
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young WR with proof and a long runway.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
196.3 pts
11.5 PPG · 15.5 games
77.1 rec · 1044.2 rec yds · 7.3 rec TD
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Combine ×1.00
Athletic composite 6.0/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Quick answer
WatchThomas caught 48 passes for 707 yards in 2025, finishing WR43. He scored about 21% less than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from WR4 to WR43 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. 2026 looks more like a flex than a locked starter. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Brian Thomas Jr..
- RankingsNextDyne
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Is Amon-Ra St. Brown the Safest WR1 in Dynasty?
Amon-Ra St. Brown has finished WR3 in half-PPR in each of the last three seasons. Here's why he might be dynasty's safest asset at the position.
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Is Ja'Marr Chase Untouchable in Dynasty Trades?
Ja'Marr Chase owns the top Dynasty Value Score of any receiver. Here's whether that makes him a true untouchable, or just the best asset with a price.
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Is Brian Thomas Jr. a Buy-Low After His Sophomore Slump?
BTJ went from a Pro Bowl rookie to one of 2025's biggest fantasy busts. Here's why the injuries, not the talent, explain the collapse.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
114.8
PPG
8.2
Positional finish
WR43
Key stats
- Rec: 48 (WR43)
- Rec yds: 707 (WR36)
- Rec TD: 2 (WR70)
2025: 8.2 PPG actual vs 10.4 expected from usage (14 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 21%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR43 | 114.8 | 8.2 | 48 | 707 | 2 | 21 | 1 | — | — |
| 2024 | WR4 | 240.5 | 14.1 | 87 | 1282 | 10 | 48 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 6.4 | TEN | 56 plays · 57% pass | 49 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 5.9 | IND | 66 plays · 56% pass | 39 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 2.8 | DEN | 63 plays · 57% pass | 18 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 15.1 | NYJ | 59 plays · 54% pass | 66 / 1 TD · 4 rec | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 10.2 | IND | 63 plays · 49% pass | 87 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 3.8 | TEN | 54 plays · 50% pass | 28 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 7.0 | LV | 76 plays · 45% pass | 55 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 4.6 | LA | 67 plays · 72% pass | 31 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 19.0 | SEA | 61 plays · 69% pass | 90 / 1 TD · 8 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 10.0 | KC | 51 plays · 49% pass | 80 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- TEN+10% · 248 pass yards
- IND+17% · 263 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 212 pass yards
- NYJ+1% · 226 pass yards
- LV-5% · 214 pass yards
- LA+4% · 235 pass yards
- SEA-5% · 213 pass yards
- KC-9% · 205 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 77.6% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
85.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 2
- Avg depth of target
- 14.5
- Drop %
- 11.0%
Durability
- 2023—
- 202417 G
- 202514 G · 2 Out
- 15.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Separation
- 2.66yd
- Cushion
- 5.52yd
- YAC above expected
- 0.25yd
- Air yards share
- 26.4%
56th of 85
73rd of 85
53rd of 85
34th of 85
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Brian Thomas Jr.'s dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Thomas scores 4,382 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Brian Thomas Jr.'s 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 11.5 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Brian Thomas Jr. in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.