WR · NYJ · #82
Arian Smith
- Height
- HT 6'0"
- Weight
- WT 179 lbs
- Birth date
- Oct 11, 2001 (age 24.9)
- College
- Georgia
No real signal yet, just a 25-year-old WR keeping pace.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
55
Range 0–188
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
6.2 pts
0.4 PPG · 7.0 games
2.9 rec · 33.9 rec yds · 0.2 rec TD
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Combine ×1.01
Athletic composite 6.5/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
HoldSmith caught 7 passes for 52 yards in 2025, finishing WR173. He scored about 53% less than his touches said he should. At 25, nothing in the recent seasons jumps off the page. The 2026 projection is cautious — wait for a real role change before paying up. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
10.0
PPG
0.8
Positional finish
WR173
Key stats
- Rec: 7 (WR152)
- Rec yds: 52 (WR173)
- Rec TD: —
2025: 0.8 PPG actual vs 1.7 expected from usage (12 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 53%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR173 | 10.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 52 | — | 13 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 0.2 | BUF | 45 plays · 49% pass | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 1.0 | NE | 62 plays · 55% pass | 5 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 0.0 | NO | 55 plays · 64% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 0.0 | JAX | 65 plays · 51% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 0.8 | BAL | 54 plays · 52% pass | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 1.3 | CLE | 44 plays · 25% pass | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 2.8 | CIN | 70 plays · 47% pass | 23 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 0.5 | CAR | 54 plays · 63% pass | 0 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 0.0 | DEN | 48 plays · 35% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 1.9 | DAL | 68 plays · 68% pass | 14 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- BUF-24% · 170 pass yards
- NE-8% · 207 pass yards
- NO-13% · 196 pass yards
- JAX+3% · 231 pass yards
- BAL+15% · 259 pass yards
- CLE-16% · 189 pass yards
- CIN+9% · 246 pass yards
- CAR-4% · 215 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 212 pass yards
- DAL+18% · 266 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 38.3% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
41.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 1
- Avg depth of target
- 13.5
- Drop %
- 6.3%
Durability
- 2023—
- 2024—
- 202513 G
- 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R4 (110 overall) WR · that slot hit at 4.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=63; contributor 14.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Arian Smith's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Smith scores 55 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Arian Smith's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 0.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Arian Smith in dynasty right now?
- This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.