AJ Dillon headshot

RB · CAR · #28

AJ Dillon

Height
HT 6'0"
Weight
WT 250 lbs
Birth date
May 2, 1998 (age 28.3)
College
Boston College

Played a short 2025 (6 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

172

Range 101244

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Depth/upside bet — RB role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

39.6 pts

2.3 PPG · 7.0 games

211.3 rush yds · 7.6 rec · 76.9 rec yds

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.96

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

Quick answer

Watch

Dillon ran for 60 yards and caught 3 passes in 2025, finishing RB114. He scored about 28% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: RB40 → RB114 over the last two seasons. 2025 stopped at 6 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention AJ Dillon.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

7.6

PPG

1.3

Positional finish

RB114

Key stats

  • Rush yds: 60 (RB96)
  • Rec: 3 (RB95)

2025: 1.3 PPG actual vs 1.8 expected from usage (6 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 28%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRush ydRush TDRecRec ydRec TDPass ydPass TD
2025RB1147.61.360321
2023RB40106.67.1613222223
2022RB25153.69.0770728206
2021RB23168.69.98035343132
2020RB8039.34.42422221

Career arc

0501001502002020: 39.3 Half-PPR3920202021: 168.6 Half-PPR16920212022: 153.6 Half-PPR15420222023: 106.6 Half-PPR10720232025: 7.6 Half-PPR820252026 projection: 39.6 Half-PPR402026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRushRecPass
2025 W180.8WAS59 plays · 68% pass03 · 1 rec0
2025 W61.0NYG53 plays · 62% pass218 · 2 rec0
2025 W51.2DEN49 plays · 78% pass1200
2025 W41.7TB56 plays · 43% pass1700
2025 W21.9KC56 plays · 39% pass1900
2025 W11.0DAL61 plays · 38% pass1000

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152015101518Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • WAS
    +21% · 142 rush yards
  • NYG
    +24% · 145 rush yards
  • DEN
    -22% · 91 rush yards
  • TB
    -15% · 99 rush yards
  • KC
    -10% · 106 rush yards
  • DAL
    +7% · 126 rush yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 11.9% mean

255075100W1W18

carry share

25507510015101518Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

10.8%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Yards after contact / att
2.7
Yards before contact / att
2.3
Broken tackles
2

Durability

  • 2023
    15 G · 1 Out
  • 2024
  • 2025
    6 G
  • 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R2 (62 overall) RB · that slot hit at 56.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=37; contributor 70.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is AJ Dillon's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Dillon scores 172 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is AJ Dillon's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 2.3 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for AJ Dillon in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.