QB · LV · #12
2025 stopped at 1 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — QB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
5.8 pts
0.3 PPG · 4.0 games
92.3 pass yds · 0.5 pass TD · 3.4 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
O'Connell threw for 102 yards in 2025, finishing QB61. He scored about 40% less than his touches said he should. QB38 slipped to QB61 last year; that's the warning. Played a short 2025 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Half-PPR points
4.8
PPG
4.8
Positional finish
QB61
Key stats
2025: 4.8 PPG actual vs 8.0 expected from usage (1 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 40%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB61 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 102 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB38 | 93.5 | 10.4 | 1612 | 8 | 30 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB28 | 125.8 | 11.4 | 2218 | 12 | 11 | 1 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 4.8 | KC | 58 plays · 45% pass | 102 | 7 | 0 |
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 82.0% mean
Pass-play participation
85.2%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R4 (135 overall) QB · that slot hit at 4.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=23; contributor 4.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
34th of 43
2nd of 43
21st of 43
19th of 43
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.