WR · NYJ · #15
Finish path matters here: WR112 → WR72 is a breakout, not a development pitch.
Traded from IND to NYJ (Nov 4, 2025).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
456
Range 495–554
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young WR with proof and a long runway.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
65.7 pts
3.9 PPG · 16.0 games
29.3 rec · 372.7 rec yds · 2.3 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Combine ×1.01
Athletic composite 7.8/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Mitchell caught 33 passes for 453 yards in 2025, finishing WR72. He scored about 25% less than his touches said he should. Coming off a real climb — WR112 to WR72 tells the story better than age. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Half-PPR points
71.4
PPG
4.5
Positional finish
WR72
Key stats
2025: 4.5 PPG actual vs 6.0 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 25%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR72 | 71.4 | 4.5 | 33 | 453 | 2 | -4 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR112 | 42.3 | 2.5 | 23 | 312 | — | 6 | — | 24 | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 0.0 | BUF | 45 plays · 49% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 3.7 | NE | 62 plays · 55% pass | 22 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 5.8 | NO | 55 plays · 64% pass | 43 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 14.4 | JAX | 65 plays · 51% pass | 58 / 1 TD · 6 rec | -4 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 2.9 | MIA | 51 plays · 67% pass | 24 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 20.2 | ATL | 61 plays · 54% pass | 102 / 1 TD · 8 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 5.2 | BAL | 54 plays · 52% pass | 42 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 1.5 | NE | 55 plays · 49% pass | 10 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 1.2 | PIT | 69 plays · 73% pass | 7 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 0.0 | TEN | 49 plays · 63% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 50.6% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
51.9%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (52 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
46th of 85
60th of 85
22nd of 85
35th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.