Adonai Mitchell headshot

WR · NYJ · #15

Adonai Mitchell

Height
HT 6'2"
Weight
WT 196 lbs
Birth date
Oct 8, 2002 (age 23.9)
College
Texas; Georgia

Finish path matters here: WR112 → WR72 is a breakout, not a development pitch.

Traded from IND to NYJ (Nov 4, 2025).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

456

Range 495554

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Young WR with proof and a long runway.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

65.7 pts

3.9 PPG · 16.0 games

29.3 rec · 372.7 rec yds · 2.3 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Combine ×1.01

    Athletic composite 7.8/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy

Mitchell caught 33 passes for 453 yards in 2025, finishing WR72. He scored about 25% less than his touches said he should. Coming off a real climb — WR112 to WR72 tells the story better than age. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

71.4

PPG

4.5

Positional finish

WR72

Key stats

  • Rec: 33 (WR69)
  • Rec yds: 453 (WR61)
  • Rec TD: 2 (WR70)

2025: 4.5 PPG actual vs 6.0 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 25%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR7271.44.5334532-4
2024WR11242.32.523312624

Career arc

0204060802024: 42.3 Half-PPR4220242025: 71.4 Half-PPR7120252026 projection: 65.7 Half-PPR662026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W180.0BUF45 plays · 49% pass000
2025 W173.7NE62 plays · 55% pass22 · 3 rec00
2025 W165.8NO55 plays · 64% pass43 · 3 rec00
2025 W1514.4JAX65 plays · 51% pass58 / 1 TD · 6 rec-40
2025 W142.9MIA51 plays · 67% pass24 · 1 rec00
2025 W1320.2ATL61 plays · 54% pass102 / 1 TD · 8 rec00
2025 W125.2BAL54 plays · 52% pass42 · 2 rec00
2025 W111.5NE55 plays · 49% pass10 · 1 rec00
2025 W91.2PIT69 plays · 73% pass7 · 1 rec00
2025 W80.0TEN49 plays · 63% pass000

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
51015202589101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • BUF
    -24% · 170 pass yards
  • NE
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • NO
    -13% · 196 pass yards
  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • MIA
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • ATL
    -1% · 222 pass yards
  • BAL
    +15% · 259 pass yards
  • PIT
    +16% · 261 pass yards
  • TEN
    +10% · 248 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 50.6% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510089101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

51.9%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
0
Avg depth of target
14.6
Drop %
3.4%

Durability

  • 2023
  • 2024
    17 G
  • 2025
    16 G
  • 16.0 projected games — last three seasons at a full slate.

R2 (52 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.76yd

46th of 85

Cushion
5.79yd

60th of 85

YAC above expected
0.84yd

22nd of 85

Air yards share
25.5%

35th of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Adonai Mitchell's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Mitchell scores 456 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Adonai Mitchell's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 3.9 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Adonai Mitchell in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.