RB · TEN · #36
Production trend is soft: RB102 → RB125 over the last two seasons.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
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Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
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Projected points per game
Chestnut ran for 40 yards in 2025, finishing RB125. He scored about 75% less than his touches said he should. RB102 slipped to RB125 last year; that's the warning. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Half-PPR points
4.0
PPG
0.3
Positional finish
RB125
Key stats
2025: 0.3 PPG actual vs 1.2 expected from usage (7 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 75%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB125 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | RB102 | 14.3 | 1.2 | 102 | — | 2 | 11 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | RB152 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | RB131 | 6.8 | 1.1 | 12 | — | 3 | 41 | — | — | — |
Career arc
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 0.0 | JAX | 52 plays · 64% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 0.0 | NO | 68 plays · 59% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 0.1 | KC | 68 plays · 41% pass | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 0.0 | SF | 49 plays · 59% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 0.0 | CLE | 63 plays · 44% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 0.0 | JAX | 52 plays · 73% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 0.3 | SEA | 64 plays · 66% pass | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 0.0 | HOU | 54 plays · 69% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 0.0 | LAC | 40 plays · 53% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 0.5 | IND | 63 plays · 60% pass | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 6.6% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
2.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
Undrafted RB — this pack does not score UDFA hit rates.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.