Is Breece Hall still the Jets' starting running back?

Yes. He's the clear RB1 on New York's depth chart, with Braelon Allen well behind him at RB2. There's no real competition for his touches.

Why did Breece Hall's targets drop so much in 2025?

The Jets used him more as a runner and less as a receiver — his carries hit a career high while his targets fell to a career low. It was a change in how he was used, not a decline in ability; his rushing efficiency actually improved.

Do the Jets' new rookies threaten Breece Hall's workload?

Not according to the projection. He's still expected to carry the ball at close to last year's volume. The bigger competition for checkdown targets is Mason Taylor, who already had that role, not the new additions.

Strategy

Is Breece Hall Already Past His Dynasty Peak?

Hall's 2023 receiving numbers aren't walking through the door again. His RB1 job isn't going anywhere either. Here's how to think about both.

By Marcus Reyes · September 2, 2026

Quick answer: Split it. The dual-threat version of Breece Hallfrom 2023 — 76 catches, RB4 money — that peak is behind him. The starting job isn't. He's still New York's clear RB1, his Dynasty Value Score (7,242, RB10 overall) still has him well ahead of true committee backs, and the model expects a real bounce this year, not a fade. If you're selling him because you remember 2023, you're selling a highlight reel, not the running back you'd actually be getting in return.

Two different questions, two different answers

"Past his peak" gets asked like it's one question. It isn't. There's the ceiling version of Hall — the one who nearly matched a receiver's target count and finished RB4 as a rookie-year encore — and there's the job he actually holds today. The first one probably isn't walking back through the door. The second one is completely intact.

What actually happened to the numbers

Hall's per-game scoring has slid three straight years: 14.85 half-PPR points a game in 2023, down to 13.28 in 2024, down to 11.85 last year. That's the surface story, and it's the one people react to.

Here's what it misses: his targets cratered — 95 in 2023, down to 76, down to 48 last year — while his carries hit a career high at 243. New York simply used him differently. And on those carries, he got better, not worse. His rushing yards over expected per attempt jumped from basically nothing in 2024 to one of the stronger marks among high-workload backs in 2025, and he did it running into stacked defenses more than twice as often as the year before. The runner improved. The role in the passing game shrank.

Where he sits on the board right now

Breece Hall vs. the surrounding tier on the 2026 running back dynasty value board
Rank	Player	Age	Dynasty Value Score
6	Jeremiyah Love	21	8,166
7	Jonathan Taylor	27	7,972
8	James Cook	26	7,857
9	Bucky Irving	24	7,617
10	Breece Hall	25	7,242
11	Kyren Williams	26	7,135
12	Christian McCaffrey	30	6,822

That's the real "peak is over" evidence. Gibbs, Bijan, and Jeanty are all sitting around 9,700 — a tier Hall isn't part of anymore. But he's still a clear starter-caliber asset grouped with backs like Jonathan Taylor and James Cook, not fringe roster fodder.

The new Jets weapons don't take his carries

New York added a first-round tight end and a first-round receiver this offseason, on top of an already-established pass-catching tight end and a healthy Garrett Wilson at WR1. Read that list fast and it looks like Hall's about to get squeezed out of the passing game entirely.

The model doesn't see it that way. Hall still projects for 256 carries — essentially his 2025 workload — plus a real uptick in catches. If anyone's eating into his checkdown targets, it's Mason Taylor, who already claimed that role behind Geno Smith last year, not the new names on the roster. Garrett Wilson's the one drawing 160-plus targets in this offense, not competing with Hall for his.

Nothing new on the injury front

Hall has played 16 or 17 games three years running. Normal bumps and bruises show up on the weekly report — a knee tweak here, an ankle issue there — but nothing that cost him a real chunk of a season, and there's nothing new flagged for 2026. Whatever's driving the "past his peak" conversation, it isn't his health.

Bottom line

Hold him. He's not the RB4 dual-threat version from 2023 anymore, and that guy probably isn't coming back — Mason Taylor's now a real target sink in that offense. But this is still a full-workload starter with a legitimate bounce-back season projected, not a name in decline. If a trade partner is offering you a discount because they're still picturing 2023, that's a read on their part, not on the numbers.

Run any offer through the Dynasty Trade Calculator before you decide anything.

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FAQ

Is Breece Hall still the Jets' starting running back?: Yes. He's the clear RB1 on New York's depth chart, with Braelon Allen well behind him at RB2. There's no real competition for his touches.
Why did Breece Hall's targets drop so much in 2025?: The Jets used him more as a runner and less as a receiver — his carries hit a career high while his targets fell to a career low. It was a change in how he was used, not a decline in ability; his rushing efficiency actually improved.
Do the Jets' new rookies threaten Breece Hall's workload?: Not according to the projection. He's still expected to carry the ball at close to last year's volume. The bigger competition for checkdown targets is Mason Taylor, who already had that role, not the new additions.

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